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Risk-reward ratio and expectancy calculator

See what a trade pays for what it risks, and how often you need to win for it to break even.

Your numbers

Result

Risk distance
0.002
Reward distance
0.004
Risk-reward ratio
1 : 2 (2R)
Break-even win rate
33.3%
Expectancy per trade (R)
+0.35R

For education only. The results depend on the numbers you enter and are not investment advice.

How it works

The risk is the distance from entry to stop loss and the reward is the distance from entry to take profit. The ratio is reward divided by risk: a 20-pip stop with a 40-pip target is 1:2, or 2R.

The break-even win rate is 100 divided by (1 + ratio). With a win rate, expectancy per trade in R is win rate × ratio − (1 − win rate).

Good to know

  • The direction comes from the order of the prices: a stop below the entry is a buy, above it a sell.
  • A high ratio is not automatically good: if the target is rarely reached, the win rate falls. Judge the two together, on your own results.
  • A win rate you type in is an assumption. Your journal shows the real one from your closed trades.

Keep the numbers, not just the answer

A calculator gives one answer. Simple Trading Journal keeps every trade, shows how you really did against your plan and tracks your prop limits. Free plan, no card.

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